TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE JULY 18 – 21

The TSX was down during the July 15-21 trading session, with the TSX Composite Index losing 52 points, or 0.4%, to 13,689. Mining and materials stocks suffered steeper losses: the Capped Metals and Mining Index dropped 46 points, or 5.9%, to 737; and the Capped Materials index lost 21 points, or 5.1%, to 398.

The oil price was again in the limelight, continuing its slide to close at about US$131 per barrel. Where will the price go next? A few months ago, Goldman Sachs predicted that it would rise to US$200 a barrel, while National Bank Financial is now forecasting US$75-80 within 15 to 18 months, as a result of demand destruction. At CIBC, opinions are also split, with one economist calling for US$200 a barrel in the next few years, and another predicting US$125.

Despite the declines in oil, the gold sector moved up, underpinned by rising inflation fears in the U. S. after the U. S. Federal Reserve moved to shore up mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

North of the border, Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney is also concerned about inflation, fearing it could hit 4% next year, above the bank’s target.

Gold stocks moved up over the trading period: Barrick Gold gained 44 to $48.35; Newmont Mining rose $1.43 to $49.67; Goldcorp added 23 to $26.13; Kinross Gold advanced 88 to $23.70; and Agnico-Eagle Mines climbed $1.55 to $71.83. Meanwhile, Yamana Gold dropped a penny to $14.50.

Could the uranium sector be recovering from its year-long decline? It may, because the uranium spot price continued to firm up during the trading session, rising US$4 to US$64 per lb. uranium oxide.

Uranium issues were mixed during the period: heavyweight Cameco dropped 4 to $39.65; mid-tier producer Denison Mines lost 4 to $7.59; fellow mid-tier producer Uranium One added 5 to $3.70; explorer Crosshair Exploration & Mining declined 3 to 55; Aurora Energy Resources rose 2 to $3.42; and Strateco Resources gained 3 to $1.68. Strateco is exploring for the radiocative metal in Quebec, while Aurora and Crosshair are exploring in Labrador, where a three-year moratorium on uranium mining is in force. The moratorium does not apply to uranium exploration.

Khan Resources added 4 to 97. The company has a uranium project in Mongolia, and the market may be speculating that Tinpo Holdings, which is in the process of acquiring Western Prospector Group, could be interested in Khan as well.

Cline Mining dropped 17 to 98. Earlier this year, Cline bought the New Elk coal mine in Colorado. In July, Cline announced that Mitsui Matsushita International had acquired a position in the company, and was planning to buy more shares, bringing its ownership interest to about 22%.

TSX most active issues
VOLUME WEEK
(000s) HIGH LOW CLOSE CHANGE
Eastern Platin ELR 14424 2.11 1.83 2.06 + 0.19
Equinox Minls EQN 10514 3.91 3.65 3.87 + 0.16
Blue Note Mng BN 9919 0.09 0.08 0.09 + 0.01
Lundin Mng LUN 7585 5.49 5.09 5.37 + 0.05
Yamana Gold YRI 7356 14.79 14.02 14.50 -0.01
Coalcorp Mng CCJ 7280 1.56 1.50 1.55 0.00
Uranium One UUU 6192 3.78 3.55 3.70 + 0.05
Goldcorp G 6125 46.81 45.50 46.13 + 0.23
Barrick Gold ABX 5385 48.49 47.01 48.35 + 0.44
Kinross Gold K 4629 23.82 22.57 23.70 + 0.88
TSX greatest percentage change
VOLUME WEEK
(000s) HIGH LOW CLOSE CHANGE
Golden Peaks GL 229 1.85 0.97 1.34 + 35.3
Gitennes Expl GIT 90 0.18 0.17 0.17 + 21.4
Zincore Mtls ZNC 13 0.20 0.17 0.20 + 17.6
Carpathian Gld CPN 48 0.35 0.30 0.35 + 16.6
Moydow Mns Int MOY 117 0.21 0.21 0.21 + 16.6
Ontex Res ONT 353 0.39 0.31 0.35 + 16.6
Sulliden Expl SUE 801 1.09 0.88 1.06 + 16.4
QGX QGX 460 4.53 3.86 4.50 + 14.8
Gateway Gold GTQ 45 0.24 0.20 0.24 + 14.2
Liberty Mines LBE 219 0.57 0.46 0.57 + 14.0
Australn Solom SGA 77 0.32 0.27 0.27 -22.8
Platmin PPN 57 6.14 5.40 5.41 -16.7
Brazilian Diam BDY 30 0.05 0.05 0.05 -16.6
Niocan Inc NIO 21 0.56 0.46 0.46 -14.8
Cline Mng CMK 1780 1.15 0.94 0.98 -14.7
Greystar Res GSL 531 2.87 2.35 2.48 -14.4
Stornoway Diam SWY 492 0.35 0.30 0.30 -14.2
Katanga Mng KAT 823 11.74 9.75 9.94 -13.1
Coalcorp wt CCJ_T 74 0.08 0.06 0.07 -12.5
Bannerman Res BAN 20 1.85 1.85 1.85 -11.9
TSX greatest value change
WEEK
VOLUME CLOSE CHANGE
Potash Cp Sask POT 2897836 222.99 + 7.68
Agrium AGU 2352056 99.68 + 4.44
Major Drilling MDI 145356 46.79 + 1.77
Pan Am Silver PAA 557044 35.
19
+ 1.58
Agnico-Eagle AEM 1170437 71.83 + 1.55
Newmont Mng NMC 35916 49.67 + 1.43
Labdr I-Ore Ro LIF_U 110018 52.15 + 1.14
Fording C C T FDG_U 1739466 80.05 + 1.05
Inmet Mining IMN 303303 64.70 + 1.04
Kinross Gold K 4628948 23.70 + 0.88
MMXMineMet XMM 50000 26.00 -2.00
Katanga Mng KAT 822979 9.94 -1.51
Platmin PPN 56756 5.41 -1.09
Timminco TIM 912575 23.70 -0.97
Harry Winston HW 375188 19.91 -0.71
FNX Mining FNX 914870 18.44 -0.65
Kirkland Lk Gd KGI 146512 8.38 -0.63
First Quantum FM 917536 67.65 -0.60
Mirabela Nickl MNB 229907 4.67 -0.52
Minefinders MFL 774730 10.66 -0.48
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